A Population Genetics–Based Microsimulation Platform for Forecasting the Health and Economic Burden of Rare Genetic Diseases

This poster prepared for the World Evidence, Pricing and Access Congress Europe, 2026, Amsterdam (March 3rd-4th 2026), presents HealthLumen's work on modelling the health and economic burden of rare genetic diseases. Microsimulation allows individual-level modelling based on population demographics, ancestry-linked genetic data, disease penetrance data, and other relevant parameters. ​Integration of such datasets allows the model to overcome data scarcity in other areas, e.g. national prevalence estimates, which is a key challenge in rare diseases. The model can be leveraged to generate evidence to raise awareness of disease burden and effective interventions, and inform payers, providers and policymakers to advance access to timely and effective treatment for rare disease patients.

Quantifying the proportion of women at risk of an FNAIT pregnancy in diverse populations in the United States

This poster, presented at the 2024 American Society of Human Genetics Meeting, November 5–9 (Denver, CO), details the first study to report FNAIT risk across diverse ancestries using data from genetic databases to calculate the expected number of women carrying underlying causal genetic variants. The study suggests that nearly 20,000 pregnancies in the US are at higher FNAIT risk each year – a significantly greater number than previously estimated – and supports the case for screening all pregnant women for potential FNAIT risk, regardless of race and ethnicity.

Estimating the Prevalence of Late-Onset Fabry Disease in the United States in 2024

This poster, prepared for the World Orphan Drug Congress Europe 2024, Barcelona (October 23–25, 2024), presents HealthLumen's work on estimating the prevalence of late-onset Fabry disease in the US in 2024 by analysing selected GLA variants mostly associated with late-onset Fabry disease, projecting their allele frequencies to the US population, and applying penetrance data to determine the number of symptomatic carriers. The carrier and symptomatic populations of Fabry disease in the US in 2024 according to the 8 variants included for analysis in this study are: 24,845 female carriers, of whom 17,392 will develop symptoms, and 12,024 male carriers, all of whom will develop symptoms.