Modelling tomorrow for decisions today

Tackling population health challenges means asking big questions, such as:

What impact would a tax on sugary drinks have on reducing obesity over the next 20 years?
How can you look 10 to 20 years ahead to understand the impact of a new drug on its users and your revenue stream?
How should you plan for changing levels of chronic disease caused by climate change?
What impact will different levels of air quality have on healthcare costs between now and 2050?
How can you boost a nation’s health with targeted help at different life stages?

And how do you even know which are the right questions to ask?

That’s where we can help.

Helping you make the best decisions

Our simulation and analysis expertise turns tomorrow’s population health questions and challenges into today’s focussed, specific, actionable decisions.

We can help you understand and explore those questions and challenges far into the future. Our scenario modelling will show you how different kinds of health interventions, drug innovations and policy changes can impact them.

And that will help you choose the best way forward.

What do we do?

When you need a future-facing decision engine for big, real world population health questions, we are the people to turn to.

Solutions

How do we do it?

We’ve created a specific process to help you find, ask and answer the right questions.

Method

What have we done?

We’ve answered many different kinds of questions for many different organisations in over 70 countries.

Track Record

Why choose us?

We have an experienced and multi-disciplinary team of software engineers, population health and policy research experts, and mathematicians.

Team

HealthLumen Blog

Microsimulation modelling for policy change

How do you answer questions about the health of the population? How do you test ideas for policy and intervention change when the option for an experiment or randomized control trial does not exist?   High level, national public health policies can have a significant impact on shaping and creating the environments – physical, food, healthcare, […]

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What is microsimulation and why do we use it?

Originally envisioned by the American economist Guy Orcutt in 1957, microsimulation models have become widely used within economics, and are increasingly used in public and population health and other fields to model the outcomes of government policy.  While more complex and requiring more data than simpler arithmetic and representative agent models, microsimulation models use individual-level […]

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The need for population health in healthcare

How do you define ‘Healthcare’? Treating disease? Improving mobility? Taking drugs to reduce pain?  Perhaps all of these?  This illustrates that healthcare is very much focused on treating illness, rather than preventing it. Our system can be better termed ‘ill-healthcare’. With an ageing population and growing burden of non-communicable disease, the NHS is overworked and […]

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Unpicking the headlines: Cancer, obesity and Boris

Two news stories dominated the headlines this week – Cancer Research UK (CRUK) rolling out a new campaign linked with their findings that obesity is now the leading risk factor for four cancers and Conservative leadership candidate Boris Johnson calling for a review and potential roll-back of ‘sin taxes’, in particular those measures designed to alter consumer food environments.

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